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Getting Ready For End-Of-Year Stock Market Predictions

Posted by Sean | November 6, 2008 .

No, I’m not getting ready to make them, I’m getting ready to ignore them!
Thinking back to January, IIRC, the bulls were saying Q1 would suck, Q2 would be flat, Q3 would be better… and Q4 would be the greatest quarter in the history of civilization. It sounded funny then. Now it is more tragicomic. Anyway, [...]

2 Comments

My Little Trading Account Is Up 28% For October?!?

Posted by Sean | October 30, 2008 .

Alright. I closed out my little three day romp with Brazil. Or rather, I set a (too tight?) trailing stop loss near the morning peak and it triggered in an hour or so. EWZ went on to have a small rally at the end of the day. Ehhh… it can run without me. I don’t [...]

4 Comments

I Love Trying To Find The Stock Market Bottom. I Hate Trying To Find The Top.

Posted by Sean | October 29, 2008 .

photo credit: Martini Captures
I had just enough time to unload my little trading account from cash back into emerging markets Tuesday morning. It was a less than perfect entrance, but I’m up over 12% despite today’s last-minute selloff. Probably more if the after-hours means anything.
Now the hard part.
Realistically, how much can we expect from [...]

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Financial Skydiving

Posted by Sean | October 15, 2008 .

photo credit: Martini Captures
My last stab at the market bottom was decent, but I was not very greedy on the way up. I’m thinking about giving it another go tomorrow. We’ll see. Logically, I know the math is against me in speculation. This is more about getting my recommended daily allowance of risk taking. [...]

2 Comments

Looking for Stock Market Deals Today

Posted by Sean | October 10, 2008 .

photo credit: Martini Captures
Whew! My little cash pile that was in limbo land is burning a hole in my pocket.
On your mark, get set…

3 Comments

Buy when there is blood in the streets…

Posted by Sean | September 25, 2008 .

I see young(er) people who think the stock market is a video game. Don’t worry if you crash your sports car at 200 MPH, or get shot up by all manner of firearms. Just hit the reset button and try to run up the score again. Yet I have to reflect on the true nature [...]

2 Comments

John Bogle, “If You’re Not Worried Today, You’re Really Not Paying Much Attention”

Posted by Sean | September 22, 2008 .

Tess Vigland interviewed indexing guru John Bogle in Saturday’s Marketplace Money.
selected quotes:
What did you do with your money this week?
“Nothing.”
People are really wondering about the safety of their money wherever they put it, what do you say to them?
“First of all, if you’re not worried today, you are really not paying much attention. This is [...]

4 Comments

Podcasts: Lehman Brothers, Monday’s Madness, Possible Outcomes

Posted by Sean | September 17, 2008 .

For news geeks with room on their iPod, Bloomberg has some podcasts on Lehman:
9/15 Lehman’s Goodwin Says Past Excesses Will Be ‘Regulated Away’ (8 min.)
9/15 Lombard Street’s Dumas Says Banking System Needs To Be Smaller (9 min.)
9/15 Levitt Says ‘Meldown’ May Prompt Years of Transparency (13 min.)
9/15 Lehman Bankruptcy Leads Investors to Cash Weinberg Says [...]

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The Best Free, Online ETF Screener?

Posted by Sean | June 29, 2008 .

For an overview of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs),see the ETF Investing Guide at SeekingAlpha.com

Why settle for a list of ETFs?
ETF Screeners can do more…
ETFs are an interesting investment vehicle, but there are over 800 ETFs… and growing. How do we narrow down such a huge list of choices? In this post, I’ll examine several free, [...]

2 Comments

Video: “Investment Opportunities in China” by Burton Malkiel (includes table-of-contents)

Posted by Sean | June 23, 2008 .

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uVcV0H4qtgw

Lecture by Dr. Burton G. Malkiel in 2006 @ Google.
All I can add here is an index of topics, hope it helps.
0:00-1:45 - Introduction, pleasantries…
1:45-9:00 - Investing environment: US vs. China, Gordon model: risk/return
9:00-11:15 - Equity risk premium: US vs. China, premium for US investors
11:15-17:15 - Chinese Economy, risks to the forecasts, answers to the [...]

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